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Hurricane Gustav - 2008
Updated 08-28-08 02:26:40pm by Indy
ClimatePatrol.com Hurricane Gustav Resources
Tropical Storm Gustav - 2008 Discussion
Storm Floater #1 - IR Satellite Feed
Storm Floater #1 - Dvorak Satellite Feed
Storm Floater #1 - Water Vapor Satellite Feed
000
WTNT32 KNHC 281758
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
...GUSTAV POURING HEAVY RAINS OVER JAMAICA...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF JAMAICA OR NEAR LATITUDE 17.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST OF
KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 335 MILES...540 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER JAMAICA TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AT ANY TIME TODAY AS IT MOVES
NEAR OR OVER JAMAICA. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING GUSTAV.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN
CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TODAY...WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Chaitén Eruption Continues
Updated 08-24-08 03:16:59pm by Indy
Update: August 24th
As of today there is nothing new to report on the eruption. All indications are that the eruption continues at a low level.
Update: August 14th
The eruption chemistry has changed and now poses a greater risk to the climate. How long will this eruption continue?
Read the latest: Fresh Bilge Update #51
Update: August 8th
According to web cam images from today the eruption of Chaitén continues. The eruption is now over three months old.
Update: August 1st
"Weather is cloudy at the volcano, but the cloud base was high enough for viewing when the big eruption began soon after dawn. The webcam showed a huge widening of the plume base — the whole dome-top blowing away — then an immense darkness, then the paler ashfall running coastward. The camera may not survive long, if this is as big an event as I suspect. Winds have shifted to W at upper levels, but NE near the surface, so at least some of the plume is coming over the camera location."
Fresh Bilge - Chaitén Blows Up (Read The Full Report)
Update: July 28th
"Although surface manifestations of eruption have continued to decline, the seismicity indicates significant movement of magma, and official concern is high. Another major eruption appears to be imminent, and it could be at least as large as the early May event — or larger still."
Fresh Bilge - Chaiten Update #40 (Read The Full Report)
About Chaiten:
Since the beginning of May 2008 the Chaitén volcano has been erupting nonstop. Prior to that it is estimated that the volcano had been dormant for some 8,000 or 9,000 years. The potential exists for a very large magma chamber below the volcano. Pre eruption quakes may indicate a magma chamber capable of supporting an eruption on the scale of Mount Tambora.
With the eruption alive and well after 6 weeks and unprecedented dome building I find it important to keep this story featured on our home page until the eruption has ended and the all clear has been given.
Why? Because an eruption on the scale of Mount Tambora has the ability to seriously alter our climate and since the U.S. media isn't giving this story a minute of coverage I felt it important to keep everyone informed.
All the credit in the world goes to the Fresh Bilge blog for continuous coverage of this event.
Join Chaitén Eruption Coverage and share your comments.
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