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Aerology
Member
Posts: 196
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
Member Is Offline
Points: 2080
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Spring Tornado Outbreak
Here's a heads up for all you storm chasers, and camera buffs....
This spring's severe tornado outbreak will be starting the 3rd of March and running thru the 7th, hundreds of reports will be filed, maybe as many as 60 to 80 total tornadoes during the week!
Storm chasers, Schedule your vacation NOW for the South East, the start of the week,
ending up in Texas / Oklahoma / Arkansas.
There is a large warm moist air mass forming in the mid Pacific Ocean now, and the dry line forming air mass is just now sweeping up into Siberia, but will be back into the SE US area by the first week of March.
Maps for probable precipitation patterns visible on
www.Aerology.com
National page has password and user name to let you view maps, until it winds down the end of March.
Don't miss this, they will be talking about it for years,
maybe you will have it on film for your self.
Rest of you peeps, keep your radios turned on, and an eye to the sky.
I don't want any of you to die. |
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FatalWishes
Administrator
Posts: 7489
Registered: 6/24/2004
Location: Fort Worth Texas
Member Is Offline
Points: 144516
Mood: Aging Cynic
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How do things look for North Central Texas? Zip code is 76104
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Aerology
Member
Posts: 196
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
Member Is Offline
Points: 2080
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Local forecasts
If you log in using the user name Jackson and password Snobuny go to the Local forecast page and plug in your zip code it will high resolution zoom you to a ~300 mile square map with the Zip entered in the center.
You can use the calendar feature at the top center to go to any date you wish to view (out to March 31st with this user / password combination.
Bear in mind that as a result of Saturn's synod conjunction, resulting in additional energy being added to this year's outbreak, the pattern is likely to be located further west and North than in the past.
as the Katrina repeat of Camile was further west, as well as the Galveston Hurricane was further west than forecast (New Orleans area), due to the planetary involvement.
If you will go thru the sign up process, and pay the $18.00 you will have instant access to all maps until 365 days from your sign up date. (If you do not wish to invest in my ongoing research, I can generate a free subscription for you, as a public service after you sign up, but decide to not pay.) |
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MountainManMike
Elite Member
Posts: 1202
Registered: 11/7/2007
Location: Durango, CO
Member Is Offline
Points: 18525
Mood: always tired
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i wish someone would tell me we were going to get a lot of snow the rest of this winter here and make me feel better. never before have i seen so much winter rain and warmth here, not ever in the el nino years of past...wtf!?!?! |
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Aerology
Member
Posts: 196
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
Member Is Offline
Points: 2080
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It's on! Watch boxes are showing up
Around 2pm today the weather service started to put up watch boxes for severe thunderstorms, and now are mentioning the possibility of tornado warnings later.
(I went to check the rules for posting things and then posted this thread, it ended up in the rules forum instead of the personal forecasts section I thought it should be in, Can a moderator move it to the right forum please?)
I have to go in to work an overnighter from 7pm Saturday, till 5am Sunday while this is unfolding, did not make my day. |
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Aerology
Member
Posts: 196
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
Member Is Offline
Points: 2080
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touchdowns
First two tornadoes on the ground just 65 and 75 miles South of me. |
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FatalWishes
Administrator
Posts: 7489
Registered: 6/24/2004
Location: Fort Worth Texas
Member Is Offline
Points: 144516
Mood: Aging Cynic
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Should be an interesting season.
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Aerology
Member
Posts: 196
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
Member Is Offline
Points: 2080
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Update...
Well it seems I was not quite right, the normal peak of tornado production is two to three days after Maximum North lunar declination (back on the 5th of March).
But this year I as expecting an increase of tornado activity due to the Synodic conjunction with Saturn mid day on the 8th March, not realizing that the peak induction effects of the conjunction would over power the Lunar tidal peak and center the four day long episode of Tornadoes, into twin two day long outbreaks overnight.
We made it thru the first on the 7th and overnight into the 8th, now we are starting into the stronger discharge phase, with overnight production on the 9th and 10th. This time the NWS has got the forecast on track. As I type this the leading edge of the dry line is just coming past Las Vegas, and headed for it's start of tornado production point around Midland Texas, 6pm to twilight.
It is a signal, electromagnetic in structure, the annual cycle is the beat frequency, the 27.32 Lunar declination cycle combined with the synchronized inner planets influence, is the basic modulation, the inputs from the outer planets, (Saturn, Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune) are the peaking influences that drive it nuts. The tornado generation of this period in the northern hemisphere charge up phase, is matched with Hurricane Hamish in the Southern discharge phase, both peaking intensity on the 8th.
The global patterns are balanced, the apparent solar angle caused by the tilt of the axis of the Earth, (trying to line up with the fields of the Galactic center, swirling down the spiral arm we reside in), alternatively shifting the charge / discharge from pole to pole, is important yes, but the over all modulation for this current cycle is what has forecasting potential.
Forecasting potential is what I am looking for. |
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posted on 2/20/2009 at 17:31
