Indy
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Subtropical Storm Andrea (2007)
| Official Advisory/Bulletin: | 000
WTNT31 KNHC 091443
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
1100 AM EDT WED MAY 09 2007
...EARLY-SEASON SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST...
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST HAS ACQUIRED SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA SOUTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA AND ABOUT 150 MILES
...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
ANDREA IS MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH. A CONTINUED
SLOW MOTION AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALONG THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANDREA
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE U.S. COAST THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
SINCE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ANDREA ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... ANDREA IS NOT EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER ANY LAND AREAS THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY MORNING.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...30.8 N...79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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FatalWishes
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Atlantic's 1st Named Storm Forms Early
| Quote From Source: | The first named storm of the year formed Wednesday off the southeastern U.S. coast, more than three weeks before the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season, forecasters said.
Subtropical Storm Andrea had top sustained winds around 45 mph Wednesday morning and didn't appear to be much of a threat, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said. Still, a tropical storm watch was issued for parts of Georgia and Florida, meaning tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours.
"We're not looking at this system strengthening significantly," said Richard Pasch, a senior hurricane specialist at the center. "We're not viewing this as a major threat."
At 11 a.m. EDT, Andrea was centered about 140 miles southeast of Savannah, Ga., and about 150 miles northeast of Daytona Beach. The storm was moving west at about 3 mph.
| | Click source url to view entire story. |
Source AP MYWAy
Source URL:
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20070509/D8P0UH1O0.html
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
Please check out our new website at www.globalwarmingisnotreal.com |
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FatalWishes
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Woohoo, I called it first....
ClimatePatrol.com - Is anybody paying attention?
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
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FatalWishes
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Track Map
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/stor...h/AL0107W+gif/145632W_sm.gif
FatalWishes has attached this image:
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
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DanG
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its in Reverse |
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FatalWishes
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It has to hit Florida...its the first one....of course its in reverse 
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
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DanG
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we sure could use some RAIN
 |
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FatalWishes
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Well your neighbors are on fire right now....and they seem to be passing the torch....
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
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Jeffers
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nice call Fatal. |
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Indy
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| Official Advisory/Bulletin: | 000
WTNT41 KNHC 102044
TCDAT1
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007
500 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2007
DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ESSENTIALLY ABSENT FOR ALMOST 12 HOURS...AS
INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND A STABLE ENVIRONMENT HAVE TAKEN
THEIR TOLL ON ANDREA. THE CONVECTION SEEMS UNLIKELY TO RETURN
EXCEPT PERHAPS IN INTERMITTENT BURSTS...SO ANDREA COULD BE
DOWNGRADED TO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
EDGE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD...AND IT WILL PROBABLY REMAIN VERY CLOSE
TO WHERE IT IS NOW DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UNTIL THE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN BECOMES A LITTLE MORE PROGRESSIVE ON DAY 3. BY
THAT TIME...HOWEVER...MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST THE
CIRCULATION TO HAVE DISSIPATED. THE GFDL CONTINUES TO HOLD ON TO
ANDREA...TAKE IT NORTHEASTWARD ON DAY 3...AND THEN BECOME THE FOCUS
OF EXTRATROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS FARTHER NORTH IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. THAT COULD HAPPEN IF ANDREA REMAINS A DISTINCT
CIRCULATION LONGER THAN SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...BUT ALL OF
THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM
REGARDLESS OF WHAT BECOMES OF ANDREA.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 10/2100Z 29.6N 79.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 11/0600Z 29.2N 79.8W 30 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 11/1800Z 29.0N 79.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 12/0600Z 29.2N 79.2W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 12/1800Z 29.6N 78.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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DanG
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hehehe - gadget play - its running a double reverse
DanG has attached this image:
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FatalWishes
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That was just a primer...the main event will come soon. Florida and Georgia are burning themselves down to prepare for all the rain and new growth this hurricane season is going to bring.
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
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dan
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Andrea consequence of GS stopping.
The warm water that GS used to carry to Europe is pooling off Florida coast and Andrea is result.(copied most of this post from GS disruption thread. Dan.
A friend called me to point out that Andrea had formed right next to where the GS is now curling South. I had not heard about the storm.
I had noticed that the eddy that formed about 5 weeks ago in the DEOS pictures above the Bermuda islands in DEOS pictures had weakened in last week. Now I know why, the storm forming was sucking all the warmth from the Southward flow of water from GS that is now pooling below it in DEOS pictures above Bermuda Islands.
May 10, 2007 DEOS pictures show flows inceasing to the South while the NOAA 14 Km sea temp pictures show this pooling very clearly now.
PREDICTION: East Coast is going to get humdinger(s) of a hurracaine(s) this year and that more storms will spring into being in same area North of Bermuda.
I will bet you that there has never been a tropical storm formed that near the Florida coast in our meterological records going back over 100 years.
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Indy
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It isn't just the disruption but also consider the fresh water. Correct me wrong but I believe the salt in the water changes what is required to transfer energy from the water to the atmosphere. When you add salt to water you raise the boiling point and lower the freezing point. When you freshen up water bad things start to happen.
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DanG
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yes - the Cold, Fresh melt is a double whammy to the current. |
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![[*]](/images/corporate/default_icon.gif){kind=icon}
posted on 5/9/2007 at 12:33
