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FatalWishes
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Registered: 6/24/2004
Location: Fort Worth Texas
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Mood: Aging Cynic
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AP Impact: Hurricane season outlooks of little use
| Quote From Source: | RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) - Each April, weather wizard William Gray emerges from his burrow deep in the Rocky Mountains to offer his forecast for the six-month hurricane season that starts June 1. And the news media are there, breathlessly awaiting his every word.
It's a lot like Groundhog Day - and the results are worth just about as much.
"The hairs on the back of my neck don't stand up," ho-hums Craig Fugate, director of emergency management for Florida, the state that got raked by four hurricanes - three of them "major" - in 2004. When it comes to preparing, he says, these long-range forecasts "are not useful at all."
The AP contacted the emergency management agency in every coastal state from Texas to Maine and asked whether these seasonal forecasts play any role in their preparations for the hurricane season. Their response was unanimous: They're a great way to get people thinking about the upcoming season, but that's about it.
| | Click source url to view entire story. |
Source AP News
Source URL:
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080531/D910NOE07.html
BWAH HA HA HA HAHA
We have been saying that shit for years. The only thing they can do is track when it has formed. They are getting better at that. But predicting or knowing when and how many??
Not a chance.
They should take the warning labels off of everything and let stupidity sort itself out.
Please check out our new website at www.globalwarmingisnotreal.com |
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MattN
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I'll buy that they can within a certain amount of confidence predict "how many". But as to "where"? Never ever without a magic crystal ball or something. |
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Aerology
Beginner
Posts: 60
Registered: 5/28/2008
Location: North Central Kansas
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Points: 600
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My forecast as of may 3rd...
I have put together a Natural analog forecast website with maps for
all of 2008.
http://www.aerology.com/national.aspx
If you would be interested in looking at the detailed maps it has generated for
the whole year of 2008, enter these.....
Kstate ........user name
Maps08 .......password
for your use looking at
the severe weather days as well as the three or four, tropical
disturbances that will probably have names as they come ashore.
Around July 6th- 12th,
August 18 thru 23rd,
September 14th thru 19th,
and another around October 5th thru October 18th.
If you have the time to look at this and send a reply I would greatly
appreciate it.
Richard Holle |
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posted on 6/2/2008 at 09:40
