| Quote From Source: |
| MIAMI - Tropical Storm Bertha has formed in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Africa. ADVERTISEMENT At 11 a.m. EDT Thursday, the center of the storm was located about 190 miles south-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season is moving toward the west-northwest at about 14 mph, and forecasters expect that to continue for the next couple of days. |
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It is serious bullshit. Look at this image.
Original Image: satimg.climatepatrol.com
That is what they are calling a tropical storm. The earlier discussion identified TWO spiral bands. That is what they used to justify this. You can have two spiral bands but that doesn't mean you have a closed low which btw is a requirement for being called a tropical storm in addition to SUSTAINED winds of 39mph or greater.
This is absolutely BS. Prior to the mid 1990's they'd be saying this system was on the verge of being classified a tropical depression. The new NHC has set the bar so low that named storms mean absolutely nothing these days.
HOw inthe hell can they call this a tropical storm? 5 years ago it wouldn't have recieved a 2nd glance yet. This is rediculous.
Now I'd say maybe we have a depression.
Original Image: satimg.climatepatrol.com
METEOSAT Feed
| Quote From Source: |
| MIAMI - Tropical Storm Bertha continues to speed across the Atlantic Ocean. At 5 a.m. EDT Friday, Bertha was centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. It is expected to be about halfway between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles by Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with some higher gusting. The storm could gradually strengthen by Sunday. |
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| Official Advisory/Bulletin: |
| 000 WTNT32 KNHC 050838 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 AM AST SAT JUL 05 2008 ...BERTHA SPEEDING ALONG OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.3 WEST OR ABOUT 750 MILES...1205 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BERTHA WILL BE ABOUT HALF WAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY...BUT GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...16.5 N...35.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
| Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency. |
I wonder if this is going to blow the Solar Flare Theory out of the water?
Watch this turn into a 200+ mph storm and nail Houston or something and drive gas prices past 8.00 a gallon. 
Ka Ching!! Good news for the oil companies, except for the repair if they do any of the rigs in the gulf. Refineries could take a hit too, that would be bad for the country as it is. Natural disasters will reinforce the already bad economy, and make things more expensive and actually scarce. Damn this is not good if it makes a hit in the gulf, but a hit on the east coast isn't going to be a picnic either. Nope this is just the first in a series of these, watching another slow motion disaster is not fun.
Jupiter will be straight out from the Sun in line with the Earth on the 9th of July, it is this planetary effect that is driving the blow up of equatorial moisture presenting it self as Bertha, and also the surge of moisture coming up thru Mexico, from the tropics.
The convection will build up till the 9th, then increase in intensity, for three days as the moisture rains out in a surge of storm strength as the air mass sliding off of the Continental US meets it several hundred miles off shore, and starts the pushing of the storm toward Newfoundland the 12th thru 16th...
Just my ideas
| Quoting Aerology - posted on 7/5/2008 at 14:28 |
Jupiter will be straight out from the Sun in line with the Earth on the 9th of July, it is this planetary effect that is driving the blow up of equatorial moisture presenting it self as Bertha, and also the surge of moisture coming up thru Mexico, from the tropics. The convection will build up till the 9th, then increase in intensity, for three days as the moisture rains out in a surge of storm strength as the air mass sliding off of the Continental US meets it several hundred miles off shore, and starts the pushing of the storm toward Newfoundland the 12th thru 16th... Just my ideas |
there has been a lot of moisture up where im at in sw colorado. monsoons have started over 2 weeks early.
outer banks...
I think this system is gonna go North. I couldn't grasp a US hit just yet in my forecast.
my guess was north since this system formed.
yeah probably so, its just that the Outer Banks are to 'canes
what trailer parks are to tornadoes....
| Quote From Source: |
| MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- Bertha became the first hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season early Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. A satellite picture from 5:45 a.m. ET Monday shows Hurricane Bertha over the Atlantic. Additional strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, according to forecasters. The hurricane center said it is still too early to determine whether Bertha will eventually affect any land areas. The five-day forecast map shows Bertha passing near Bermuda, but hurricanes are unpredictable and their routes often change during a forecast period. |
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| Official Advisory/Bulletin: |
| 000 WTNT32 KNHC 070845 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 AM AST MON JUL 07 2008 ...BERTHA BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2008 ATLANTIC SEASON... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST OR ABOUT 845 MILES... 1365 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS BERTHA REMAINS OVER THE WATERS OF THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA WILL EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...19.3 N...50.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
| Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency. |
New York City? That would be bad.
| Official Advisory/Bulletin: |
| 000 WTNT32 KNHC 071455 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 18...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1100 AM AST MON JUL 07 2008 ...CORRECTED PRESSURE... ...BERTHA STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...COULD REACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY LATER TODAY... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.3 WEST OR ABOUT 775 MILES... 1250 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND BERTHA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...19.6 N...51.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
| Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency. |
| Quote From Source: |
| MIAMI - Forecasters say Hurricane Bertha has weakened to a Category 2 storm. As of 11 a.m. EDT Tuesday, the center of the storm was about 660 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands and about 975 miles southeast of Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds decreased to 105 mph with some higher gusting. The storm is expected to continue weakening over the next couple of days. The Atlantic season's first hurricane is headed to the northwest at about 10 mph. Bertha is expected to continue heading toward Bermuda. Forecasters urged people on the island to continue monitoring the storm's progress. It's unknown if or when the hurricane will make landfall. |
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| Official Advisory/Bulletin: |
| 000 WTNT32 KNHC 081441 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1100 AM AST TUE JUL 08 2008 ...BERTHA WEAKENS BUT STILL A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES... 1065 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 975 MILES...1570 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...22.1 N...53.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
| Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency. |
Not even close. Already Fizzing out.
I wonder why the National Hurricane Centers Computers couldn't predict this path a while ago 
| Official Advisory/Bulletin: |
| 000 WTNT32 KNHC 141141 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 45A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 800 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008 ...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE AFFECTING BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. BERTHA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 68 MPH...WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT COMMISSIONER'S POINT IN BERMUDA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...31.6 N...63.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/FRANKLIN |
| Alert, Advisory, Warning, etc from a government agency. |